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The location of the closing price within the day's range is a surprisingly powerful predictor of next-day returns for equity indices. The closing price in relation to the day's range:Internal Bar Strength is simply calculated as such:
((close-low)/(high-low))*100
It takes values between 0 and 100 and simply indicates at which point along the day's range the closing price is located. In this post I will take a look not only at returns forecasting, but also how to use this value in conjunction with other indicators. You may be skeptical about the value of something so extremely simplistic, but I think you'll be pleasantly surprised.
Excellent research related to IBS you can find here:
http://qusma.com/2012/11/06/closing-price-in-relation-to-the-days-range-and-equity-index-mean-reversion/
Trading financial instruments, including foreign exchange on margin, carries a high level of risk and is not suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in financial instruments or foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
